Summary

Short Sherwood News item reporting October 2025 ARR figures for Anthropic: $7B ARR current, $9B ARR projected by year-end. Anthropic tripling 2026 revenue targets to $26B. Series F: $13B at $183B valuation. OpenAI comparison: $13B ARR target.

Key Points

  • Anthropic ARR: $7B as of October 2025 (up from $5B target in September)
  • Projected year-end 2025: $9B ARR
  • 2026 revenue target: nearly tripling to as much as $26B
  • Series F: $13B raised; valuation $183B
  • Growth driver: enterprise AI tools, specifically Claude Code
  • OpenAI target: $13B ARR (per The Information)

Newsletter Angles

  • The revenue acceleration makes Zitron’s August skepticism look premature — but the ARR caveat still applies; actual booked revenue is likely a fraction of these figures
  • Claude Code as a growth driver is interesting: it’s developer tooling, not consumer AI. Anthropic may be winning enterprise while OpenAI wins consumer

Entities Mentioned

  • Anthropic — revenue trajectory and valuation
  • OpenAI — comparison benchmark

Concepts Mentioned

  • Tech-State Conflict — commercial success context for the political conflict with Trump administration

Notes

Very thin source — primarily useful as a data point to update the Anthropic entity page. Pairs with the Zitron analysis for a more complete picture.